Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004345 0.004573 0.004807 0.005065 0.005344 0.005635 0.005963
2025-09-21 0.003958 0.004295 0.004657 0.005075 0.005547 0.006067 0.006684
2025-09-28 0.003608 0.003990 0.004412 0.004914 0.005499 0.006165 0.006986
2025-10-05 0.003426 0.003850 0.004327 0.004910 0.005609 0.006426 0.007469
2025-10-12 0.003328 0.003792 0.004326 0.004993 0.005811 0.006797 0.008093
2025-10-19 0.003181 0.003666 0.004233 0.004954 0.005858 0.006971 0.008474
2025-10-26 0.003059 0.003561 0.004157 0.004926 0.005909 0.007147 0.008861
2025-11-02 0.002946 0.003460 0.004079 0.004890 0.005944 0.007297 0.009215
2025-11-09 0.002900 0.003439 0.004096 0.004971 0.006130 0.007650 0.009862
2025-11-16 0.002813 0.003361 0.004038 0.004951 0.006180 0.007821 0.010261
2025-11-23 0.002731 0.003288 0.003981 0.004928 0.006221 0.007977 0.010646
2025-11-30 0.002638 0.003195 0.003895 0.004861 0.006198 0.008041 0.010895
2025-12-07 0.002546 0.003102 0.003807 0.004791 0.006167 0.008094 0.011134
2025-12-14 0.002492 0.003056 0.003779 0.004798 0.006246 0.008307 0.011630
2025-12-21 0.002380 0.002931 0.003640 0.004649 0.006094 0.008174 0.011573
2025-12-28 0.002330 0.002886 0.003608 0.004646 0.006151 0.008352 0.012021
2026-01-04 0.002313 0.002884 0.003633 0.004722 0.006326 0.008715 0.012794
2026-01-11 0.002256 0.002826 0.003581 0.004686 0.006332 0.008817 0.013137
2026-01-18 0.002206 0.002777 0.003537 0.004660 0.006352 0.008939 0.013521
2026-01-25 0.002155 0.002725 0.003489 0.004627 0.006357 0.009039 0.013869
2026-02-01 0.002144 0.002727 0.003515 0.004702 0.006532 0.009418 0.014744
2026-02-08 0.002103 0.002686 0.003479 0.004684 0.006560 0.009558 0.015191
2026-02-15 0.002062 0.002644 0.003442 0.004662 0.006581 0.009687 0.015624